EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
933 AM EDT FRI APR 30 2010
 
...VALID 15Z FRI APR 30 2010 - 12Z SAT MAY 01 2010...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
 

SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 ENE DYR 15 WSW MKL 40 S OLV 25 W GWO 30 WNW BQP 30 SW ELD
30 W ELD 25 S M89 25 WNW PBF 10 SW SRC 25 NW ARG 35 W POF
30 SSE FAM 10 W MDH 10 NW HSB 20 ESE HSB 25 E PAH 40 ENE DYR.

 

A VERY IMPRESSIVE MSTR FLUX FM THE GULF OF MEXICO..INCRSG DIV
ALOFT WITH TIME AND STG LLVL MSTR CNVGNC IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA
BY THIS EVNG/NIGHT WILL SET THE STAGE FOR THE DVLPMNT OF
WIDESPREAD HVY CNVCTV RAINS. IMPULSE EMBEDDED IN SWLY FLOW ALOFT
WILL LIKELY FIRE THE ACTVTY WITH PWS AOA 1.75 INCHES EVENTUALLY
BEING AVBL FOR SUPPORT.  MODEL QPFS SIMILAR WITH FCSTG THE
POTENTIAL FOR HVY RAINS BUT AS USUAL DIFFER ON EXACT  PLACEMENT
DETAILS.  WITH MESOSCALE FORCING LIKELY ENHANCING THE POTENTIAL
FOR CELLS TO REPEAT OVR LOCALIZED AREAS..COULD SEE QUICK 2.00 INCH
RNFL TOTALS WITH 3.00 TO 4.00 INCH TOTALS BEING POSSIBLE.

KORTY
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