EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
923 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011
 
...VALID 03Z SUN APR 17 2011 - 00Z MON APR 18 2011...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
 

SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
SFM 10 ESE CON EEN 15 S PSF 15 S POU 20 SSE EWR NEL WRI
15 W SMQ 15 WNW MSV 25 NW MSV 45 WSW SCH 30 WNW SCH GFL 10 W RUT
10 NNW LEB 10 NE BML 25 NNW BGR 20 S BGR PWM SFM.

 
LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS THINKING WITH CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS
OUTLOOK MADE TO ACCOUNT FOR PROGRESSION OF THE SYSTEM.

A STRONG SHRTWV AND ITS ASOCTD FRONTAL BAND LIFTING OUT ACROSS THE
NERN U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT PDS OF INTENSE RAINS ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA.  AN INTENSE LLJ EXCEEDING 60KTS WILL RESULT IN A STG
NWD MSTR FLUX INTO THE AREA WITH PWS BTWN 1.00-1.25 INCHES
EXPECTED AS FAR N AND E AS SRN NEW ENG.  WIDESPREAD 1 TO 1.5 INCH
RAINS TONIGHT FM NJ NEWD INTO SRN MAINE WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN
EXCESS OF 2.00 INCHES LIKELY.  AS A RESULT..AREAS WITH RATHER LOW
FF GUIDANCE VALUES WITHIN THE OUTLOOK AREA COULD SEE SOME RUNOFF
ISSUES.

KORTY
$$