EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
254 PM EDT WED JUN 09 2010
 
...VALID 18Z WED JUN 09 2010 - 00Z FRI JUN 11 2010...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
 

SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
20 N DTN 20 ENE LFK 10 WSW CXO 20 WNW DWH 25 SSE 11R 15 ESE 3T5
3T5 10 SW 62H 10 WNW 62H 20 NNW 62H 35 WSW LHB 25 SE TPL
15 E TPL 10 S PWG 10 NW PWG 15 NW CNW 15 SW INJ INJ 10 S JWY HQZ
15 ESE TKI 10 SSW PRX LBR 25 S DEQ TXK 20 N DTN.

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FIVE INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE TO THE
RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE JSO 10 NW UTS 25 E CLL 10 E CLL
15 ESE LHB 20 NNW LHB 15 E PWG 10 ENE ACT 20 ESE INJ LNC
10 NE TRL 10 ENE SLR 15 NE OSA 30 ESE OSA 10 ENE GGG 15 ESE JSO.

 
NORTHEAST TX...

ACTIVE CONVECTION EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INVOF THE SLOW MOVG MID
LEVEL CLOSED LOW FCST TO PUSH ENEWD THIS PERIOD THRU NERN TX.  THE
GFS IS SLIGHTLY FASTER TO THE NORTHEAST WITH THIS SYSTEM THAN THE
REMAINDER OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE...POSSIBLY DUE TO GRID SCALE
CONVECTION ISSUES.  OTHERWISE...THE GENERAL MODEL SIGNAL WL BE FOR
A VERY SLOW MOVG SYSTEM EMBEDDED IN A REGION OF ABOVE AVG PW
VALUES.  SIMILAR TO WHAT HAS OCCURRED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVR THE
PAST DAY...ACTIVITY MAY SPREAD FARTHER AWAY FROM THE CNTR DURG THE
DAY AND CONTRACT TOWARD THE CNTR AT NIGHT...SIMILAR TO A INLAND
TROPICAL SYSTEM.  VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AMTS POSSIBLE INVOF THIS
CNTR WITH POTENTIAL FOR VERY SLOW MOVEMENT OF PCPN REGION AND/OR
TRAINING OF CELLS...ESPECIALLY ON THE ERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION.
WE ARE FAVORING THE HEAVIER TOTALS OF THE EC...GFS AND
UKMET...WITH POTENTIAL FOR SHRT TERM PCPN AMTS OF 2-4"+ AND TOTAL
AMTS THIS PERIOD IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES IN REGIONS OF SLOW MOVEMENT
OR TRAINING OF CONVECTION.

ORAVEC
$$